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Ligue 1 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 3

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Matches

Matchday 3 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 39 goals from 34.4 xG (1.14 goals per xG).

  • Win most in line with xG: Lens 3–1 Brest (xG 3.99–1.08). The winner had 86% on xG.
  • Most xG: Lens 3–1 Brest (xG 3.99–1.08). 5.07 xG in all.
  • Most one-sided: Lens 3–1 Brest (xG 3.99–1.08). An xG gap of 2.91.
  • Most goals above xG: Lille, +3.51 goals above xG.
  • Most goals below xG: Lyon, -2.04 goals below xG.

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Lens 3–1 Brest3.99–1.0886% · 8% · 5%Win in line with xG for Lens
Lorient 1–7 Lille1.50–3.4912% · 13% · 75%Win in line with xG for Lille
Nantes 1–0 Auxerre0.48–0.6822% · 42% · 35%Close call, Nantes won
Toulouse 3–6 PSG2.22–2.6234% · 18% · 48%Win in line with xG for PSG
Angers 1–1 Rennes1.23–1.4632% · 26% · 42%Draw in line with xG
Le Havre 3–1 Nice2.56–0.6379% · 14% · 7%Win in line with xG for Le Havre
Monaco 3–2 Strasbourg1.94–1.6246% · 22% · 33%Win in line with xG for Monaco
Paris FC 3–2 Metz3.21–1.8465% · 15% · 20%Win in line with xG for Paris FC
Lyon 1–0 Marseille3.04–0.7782% · 11% · 6%Win in line with xG for Lyon

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 2 · Matchday 4

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