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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 26.2 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille 4–0 Lorient | 2.26–0.14 | 86% · 12% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
| Nice 1–0 Nantes | 1.75–0.75 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Nice |
| Auxerre 1–2 Monaco | 0.67–1.42 | 18% · 27% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Lille 2–1 Toulouse | 2.21–0.81 | 69% · 18% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Lille |
| Brest 1–2 Paris FC | 2.57–1.55 | 60% · 18% · 22% | Won against the xG: Paris FC |
| Metz 1–1 Angers | 1.71–2.27 | 29% · 20% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Angers had 51% |
| PSG 2–0 Lens | 1.07–1.16 | 33% · 29% · 38% | Close call, PSG won |
| Strasbourg 1–0 Le Havre | 1.36–0.65 | 54% · 28% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
| Rennes 3–1 Lyon | 2.19–1.71 | 49% · 20% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Rennes |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.