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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 34.5 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon 1–0 Angers | 1.81–1.18 | 52% · 23% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Lyon |
| Nantes 2–2 Rennes | 2.11–1.37 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Nantes had 54% |
| Brest 4–1 Nice | 2.03–2.33 | 35% · 20% · 46% | Close call, Brest won |
| Lens 3–0 Lille | 3.54–1.90 | 69% · 14% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Lens |
| Paris FC 2–3 Strasbourg | 1.60–2.38 | 26% · 19% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Strasbourg |
| Auxerre 1–0 Toulouse | 0.75–2.33 | 10% · 17% · 73% | Won against the xG: Auxerre |
| Le Havre 1–1 Lorient | 2.47–1.21 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Le Havre had 65% |
| Monaco 5–2 Metz | 3.50–2.16 | 64% · 15% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Monaco |
| Marseille 1–0 PSG | 1.14–0.67 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Marseille |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.