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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 31.2 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3–3 Hertha BSC | 2.43–1.62 | 56% · 19% · 25% | Draw against the xG: SpVgg Greuther Fürth had 56% |
| Dynamo Dresden 2–3 Eintracht Braunschweig | 2.76–2.36 | 48% · 18% · 34% | Close call, Eintracht Braunschweig won |
| Arminia Bielefeld 0–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0.94–0.06 | 59% · 39% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Arminia Bielefeld had 59% |
| Karlsruher SC 0–4 Paderborn | 0.09–3.75 | 0% · 3% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Paderborn |
| 1. FC Magdeburg 3–3 Holstein Kiel | 2.73–2.35 | 48% · 18% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hannover 96 0–0 VfL Bochum | 3.44–1.13 | 80% · 11% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Hannover 96 had 80% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 1–0 Preußen Münster | 2.21–1.20 | 60% · 20% · 20% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| SV Elversberg 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf | 1.06–2.14 | 18% · 20% · 62% | Won against the xG: SV Elversberg |
| Schalke 04 1–0 1. FC Nürnberg | 0.44–0.54 | 23% · 47% · 30% | Close call, Schalke 04 won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.