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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 32.2 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld | 0.55–0.86 | 22% · 37% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Paderborn 2–2 SV Darmstadt 98 | 3.84–1.29 | 82% · 10% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Paderborn had 82% |
| VfL Bochum 2–2 Karlsruher SC | 1.59–1.63 | 37% · 23% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.79–1.19 | 51% · 23% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Düsseldorf |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2–3 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.48–2.99 | 33% · 17% · 50% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Magdeburg |
| Holstein Kiel 2–1 Dynamo Dresden | 1.08–1.23 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Close call, Holstein Kiel won |
| Eintracht Braunschweig 2–1 Schalke 04 | 1.22–2.02 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Won against the xG: Eintracht Braunschweig |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Hannover 96 | 1.00–2.00 | 18% · 21% · 61% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Nürnberg |
| Preußen Münster 1–1 SV Elversberg | 3.20–2.22 | 58% · 16% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Preußen Münster had 58% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.