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5 of 9 matches with xG: 13 goals from 16.7 xG (0.78 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Braunschweig 0–3 1. FC Magdeburg | 0.43–3.58 | 2% · 6% · 92% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Magdeburg |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–0 Arminia Bielefeld | 1.42–0.31 | 66% · 26% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Düsseldorf |
| 1. FC Nürnberg 3–2 SV Elversberg | 3.39–2.52 | 56% · 16% · 28% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Nürnberg |
| Preußen Münster 0–2 Karlsruher SC | 1.53–1.26 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Close call, Karlsruher SC won |
| Dynamo Dresden 2–0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.79–0.49 | 69% · 21% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Dresden |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.