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10 of 10 matches with xG: 36 goals from 34.1 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 2–3 Freiburg II | 2.75–1.76 | 59% · 18% · 24% | Won against the xG: Freiburg II |
| SV Sandhausen 6–3 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2.13–1.46 | 53% · 21% · 26% | Win in line with xG for SV Sandhausen |
| VfB Lübeck 0–3 Preußen Münster | 0.59–3.64 | 3% · 7% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Preußen Münster |
| MSV Duisburg 1–0 FC Viktoria Köln | 2.53–0.79 | 75% · 15% · 10% | Win in line with xG for MSV Duisburg |
| Borussia Dortmund II 5–2 Verl | 1.47–1.76 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Close call, Borussia Dortmund II won |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 0–2 SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.16–1.77 | 25% · 23% · 52% | Win in line with xG for SSV Ulm 1846 |
| Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 SpVgg Unterhaching | 3.17–1.75 | 66% · 15% · 19% | Won against the xG: SpVgg Unterhaching |
| Waldhof Mannheim 0–2 FC Saarbrücken | 1.42–0.67 | 55% · 27% · 18% | Won against the xG: FC Saarbrücken |
| Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Dynamo Dresden | 1.77–1.50 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Erzgebirge Aue |
| TSV 1860 München 1–0 Hallescher FC | 0.72–1.31 | 21% · 29% · 51% | Won against the xG: TSV 1860 München |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.