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9 of 10 matches with xG: 22 goals from 27.3 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hallescher FC 1–0 Dynamo Dresden | 1.92–0.90 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Hallescher FC |
| VfB Lübeck 0–0 FC Saarbrücken | 1.55–1.14 | 47% · 25% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| TSV 1860 München 0–1 SSV Ulm 1846 | 0.98–1.16 | 31% · 29% · 40% | Win in line with xG for SSV Ulm 1846 |
| Waldhof Mannheim 3–1 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.06–1.75 | 23% · 24% · 54% | Won against the xG: Waldhof Mannheim |
| Erzgebirge Aue 2–3 Preußen Münster | 3.10–1.64 | 67% · 15% · 18% | Won against the xG: Preußen Münster |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 1–3 SpVgg Unterhaching | 0.99–2.26 | 15% · 19% · 66% | Win in line with xG for SpVgg Unterhaching |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 1–3 FC Viktoria Köln | 1.39–1.46 | 36% · 25% · 39% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| Arminia Bielefeld 0–0 Verl | 1.78–1.41 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| MSV Duisburg 2–1 Borussia Dortmund II | 2.08–0.72 | 69% · 19% · 12% | Win in line with xG for MSV Duisburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.