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Most points above xPts: Preußen Münster (+6.4 pts), SpVgg Unterhaching (+6.2 pts), SSV Ulm 1846 (+5.1 pts).
Most points below xPts: Arminia Bielefeld (−8.5 pts), FC Ingolstadt 04 (−6.1 pts), Verl (−5.2 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 11 | 23.7 | 9.9 | 22.5 | 14 | −8.5 |
| 2 | FC Saarbrücken | 5 | 10 | 20.6 | 11.0 | 19.1 | 17 | −2.1 |
| 3 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 12 | 11 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 17.1 | 11 | −6.1 |
| 4 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 1 | 8 | 12.2 | 6.5 | 14.9 | 20 | +5.1 |
| 5 | TSV 1860 München | 3 | 10 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 13.5 | 18 | +4.5 |
| 6 | Verl | 17 | 9 | 13.2 | 11.4 | 13.2 | 8 | −5.2 |
| 7 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 9 | 12 | 15.2 | 21.6 | 12.9 | 13 | +0.1 |
| 8 | Dynamo Dresden | 16 | 8 | 13.6 | 11.0 | 12.8 | 8 | −4.8 |
| 9 | Hallescher FC | 14 | 9 | 14.0 | 14.7 | 12.4 | 10 | −2.4 |
| 10 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 2 | 9 | 14.0 | 15.5 | 11.8 | 18 | +6.2 |
| 11 | SV Sandhausen | 10 | 9 | 12.3 | 14.6 | 11.4 | 11 | −0.4 |
| 12 | MSV Duisburg | 15 | 9 | 13.0 | 16.2 | 11.4 | 10 | −1.4 |
| 13 | Erzgebirge Aue | 11 | 8 | 11.6 | 11.7 | 11.3 | 11 | −0.3 |
| 14 | FC Viktoria Köln | 6 | 9 | 13.7 | 17.3 | 11.0 | 16 | +5.0 |
| 15 | Preußen Münster | 4 | 8 | 12.5 | 12.1 | 10.6 | 17 | +6.4 |
| 16 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 19 | 7 | 10.7 | 9.2 | 10.1 | 6 | −4.1 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund II | 7 | 9 | 10.9 | 15.8 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| 18 | VfB Lübeck | 20 | 10 | 13.6 | 21.6 | 9.7 | 6 | −3.7 |
| 19 | Waldhof Mannheim | 13 | 8 | 10.3 | 13.5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| 20 | Freiburg II | 18 | 6 | 8.0 | 12.6 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.