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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 26.4 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock 1–0 TSV 1860 München | 0.50–0.33 | 30% · 51% · 18% | Close call, Hansa Rostock won |
| FC Viktoria Köln 2–0 SV Wehen | 1.01–0.45 | 49% · 35% · 16% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| Dynamo Dresden 2–1 SV Sandhausen | 1.68–0.62 | 63% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Dresden |
| Borussia Dortmund II 0–4 Hannover 96 II | 1.52–4.55 | 7% · 8% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Hannover 96 II |
| SpVgg Unterhaching 1–1 Energie Cottbus | 1.63–1.56 | 40% · 23% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 0–3 FC Saarbrücken | 0.90–1.57 | 22% · 25% · 53% | Win in line with xG for FC Saarbrücken |
| Verl 5–1 Erzgebirge Aue | 1.90–0.88 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Verl |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 0–3 Arminia Bielefeld | 0.75–1.93 | 14% · 21% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Arminia Bielefeld |
| Alemannia Aachen 1–0 VfL Osnabrück | 0.47–0.52 | 25% · 47% · 28% | Close call, Alemannia Aachen won |
| Waldhof Mannheim 0–0 Stuttgart II | 1.83–1.77 | 40% · 22% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.