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7 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 27.7 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabrück 2–0 FC Viktoria Köln | 1.10–0.20 | 60% · 34% · 7% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| TSV 1860 München 1–3 Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.98–2.50 | 31% · 19% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Rot-Weiß Essen |
| FC Saarbrücken 4–3 Verl | 2.80–2.25 | 51% · 18% · 32% | Win in line with xG for FC Saarbrücken |
| Stuttgart II 2–1 Alemannia Aachen | 1.30–2.36 | 20% · 19% · 61% | Won against the xG: Stuttgart II |
| SV Wehen 4–2 Borussia Dortmund II | 3.18–2.01 | 61% · 16% · 23% | Win in line with xG for SV Wehen |
| SV Sandhausen 0–3 Hansa Rostock | 1.84–3.57 | 16% · 14% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Hansa Rostock |
| Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 Dynamo Dresden | 1.69–0.95 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Arminia Bielefeld had 55% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.