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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 33.4 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Ulm 1846 3–5 VfL Osnabrück | 0.68–2.58 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| Alemannia Aachen 0–3 FC Viktoria Köln | 0.42–1.37 | 11% · 28% · 61% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| MSV Duisburg 0–0 Erzgebirge Aue | 1.66–0.48 | 67% · 23% · 10% | Draw against the xG: MSV Duisburg had 67% |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 1–2 TSV 1860 München | 2.24–1.88 | 47% · 20% · 33% | Close call, TSV 1860 München won |
| FC Saarbrücken 2–2 Hoffenheim II | 5.29–2.09 | 84% · 8% · 8% | Draw against the xG: FC Saarbrücken had 84% |
| Stuttgart II 0–1 Hansa Rostock | 1.83–1.21 | 52% · 23% · 25% | Won against the xG: Hansa Rostock |
| Verl 0–0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 0.53–0.84 | 22% · 38% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| SV Wehen 3–1 Energie Cottbus | 3.18–1.17 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Win in line with xG for SV Wehen |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg 3–0 Waldhof Mannheim | 1.39–1.56 | 34% · 24% · 42% | Close call, SSV Jahn Regensburg won |
| FC Schweinfurt 05 2–3 Havelse | 2.06–0.95 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Won against the xG: Havelse |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.