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10 of 10 matches with xG: 30 goals from 33.1 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energie Cottbus 2–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.45–1.76 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Erzgebirge Aue 4–0 FC Schweinfurt 05 | 2.68–2.27 | 48% · 18% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Erzgebirge Aue |
| Hansa Rostock 1–1 FC Saarbrücken | 2.68–3.09 | 35% · 17% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Waldhof Mannheim 2–2 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.21–0.79 | 46% · 30% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 3–2 SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.01–1.40 | 27% · 27% · 46% | Won against the xG: Rot-Weiß Essen |
| VfL Osnabrück 1–2 Stuttgart II | 2.22–1.29 | 58% · 20% · 22% | Won against the xG: Stuttgart II |
| TSV 1860 München 0–2 Verl | 1.28–2.00 | 24% · 22% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Verl |
| Havelse 1–1 Alemannia Aachen | 1.18–1.20 | 36% · 28% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hoffenheim II 3–1 SV Wehen | 2.63–1.37 | 64% · 17% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim II |
| FC Viktoria Köln 0–0 MSV Duisburg | 1.18–0.45 | 54% · 31% · 14% | Draw against the xG: FC Viktoria Köln had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.