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6 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 15.7 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock 2–1 Erzgebirge Aue | 0.79–0.55 | 38% · 39% · 23% | Close call, Hansa Rostock won |
| TSV 1860 München 1–1 Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.22–0.46 | 55% · 31% · 14% | Draw against the xG: TSV 1860 München had 55% |
| FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Energie Cottbus | 2.41–1.80 | 52% · 19% · 29% | Draw against the xG: FC Saarbrücken had 52% |
| SSV Ulm 1846 0–1 SV Wehen | 1.11–1.66 | 25% · 24% · 50% | Win in line with xG for SV Wehen |
| Verl 5–2 Waldhof Mannheim | 1.59–1.30 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Verl |
| Alemannia Aachen 0–3 VfL Osnabrück | 0.97–1.83 | 20% · 23% · 58% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.