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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 26.6 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 SSV Ulm 1846 | 0.45–1.55 | 10% · 25% · 65% | Won against the xG: Waldhof Mannheim |
| Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 FC Saarbrücken | 0.65–1.65 | 14% · 24% · 62% | Draw against the xG: FC Saarbrücken had 62% |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 0–0 Energie Cottbus | 1.67–0.95 | 54% · 24% · 21% | Draw against the xG: FC Ingolstadt 04 had 54% |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 FC Viktoria Köln | 1.88–0.60 | 68% · 21% · 11% | Draw against the xG: SSV Jahn Regensburg had 68% |
| VfL Osnabrück 2–0 Havelse | 1.69–1.87 | 35% · 22% · 43% | Close call, VfL Osnabrück won |
| SV Wehen 2–0 FC Schweinfurt 05 | 1.89–0.47 | 72% · 20% · 8% | Win in line with xG for SV Wehen |
| Stuttgart II 2–1 TSV 1860 München | 1.43–2.12 | 26% · 21% · 53% | Won against the xG: Stuttgart II |
| Hoffenheim II 2–2 Hansa Rostock | 2.02–1.07 | 59% · 21% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Hoffenheim II had 59% |
| Alemannia Aachen 3–3 Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.22–0.73 | 48% · 30% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| MSV Duisburg 4–2 Verl | 0.58–2.11 | 9% · 18% · 73% | Won against the xG: MSV Duisburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.