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10 of 10 matches with xG: 39 goals from 35.0 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Viktoria Köln 2–2 Erzgebirge Aue | 1.81–1.29 | 50% · 23% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hansa Rostock 2–2 VfL Osnabrück | 1.19–1.27 | 34% · 27% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Saarbrücken 2–0 Stuttgart II | 1.45–1.58 | 35% · 24% · 41% | Close call, FC Saarbrücken won |
| Havelse 0–5 TSV 1860 München | 1.07–4.27 | 4% · 7% · 89% | Win in line with xG for TSV 1860 München |
| Verl 3–1 Hoffenheim II | 3.02–1.88 | 61% · 16% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Verl |
| SV Wehen 6–1 MSV Duisburg | 3.13–0.38 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for SV Wehen |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 3–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 0.87–3.02 | 8% · 12% · 80% | Won against the xG: Rot-Weiß Essen |
| Energie Cottbus 1–1 Waldhof Mannheim | 2.61–1.00 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Energie Cottbus had 72% |
| SSV Ulm 1846 1–3 Alemannia Aachen | 1.55–1.28 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Close call, Alemannia Aachen won |
| FC Schweinfurt 05 1–1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 0.66–1.72 | 14% · 23% · 63% | Draw against the xG: FC Ingolstadt 04 had 63% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.