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7 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart II 3–1 Waldhof Mannheim | 2.04–1.47 | 51% · 21% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Stuttgart II |
| Alemannia Aachen 3–1 Verl | 1.48–1.80 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Close call, Alemannia Aachen won |
| MSV Duisburg 3–1 FC Schweinfurt 05 | 1.95–1.04 | 59% · 22% · 20% | Win in line with xG for MSV Duisburg |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 3–2 Havelse | 4.17–1.18 | 87% · 8% · 6% | Win in line with xG for FC Ingolstadt 04 |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg 2–1 SV Wehen | 3.02–0.75 | 82% · 11% · 6% | Win in line with xG for SSV Jahn Regensburg |
| VfL Osnabrück 3–0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.02–2.05 | 39% · 21% · 40% | Close call, VfL Osnabrück won |
| SSV Ulm 1846 1–1 FC Saarbrücken | 1.65–0.57 | 64% · 24% · 12% | Draw against the xG: SSV Ulm 1846 had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.