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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 30.5 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim II 1–2 TSV 1860 München | 1.31–2.32 | 21% · 19% · 60% | Win in line with xG for TSV 1860 München |
| Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 VfL Osnabrück | 0.66–2.08 | 11% · 19% · 71% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| Hansa Rostock 3–2 Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.58–2.49 | 42% · 18% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Hansa Rostock |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–1 SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.13–0.78 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Viktoria Köln 2–0 Stuttgart II | 2.06–0.92 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Win in line with xG for FC Viktoria Köln |
| SV Wehen 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.13–0.53 | 50% · 32% · 17% | Win in line with xG for SV Wehen |
| Energie Cottbus 0–0 Verl | 0.33–0.30 | 22% · 59% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 Alemannia Aachen | 1.84–1.85 | 39% · 22% · 39% | Close call, Waldhof Mannheim won |
| MSV Duisburg 1–1 Havelse | 3.15–0.82 | 83% · 11% · 6% | Draw against the xG: MSV Duisburg had 83% |
| FC Schweinfurt 05 2–2 FC Saarbrücken | 1.80–2.38 | 29% · 20% · 51% | Draw against the xG: FC Saarbrücken had 51% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.