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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 31.7 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSV 1860 München 2–1 Erzgebirge Aue | 2.28–3.54 | 23% · 15% · 62% | Won against the xG: TSV 1860 München |
| Stuttgart II 1–2 Energie Cottbus | 1.06–3.85 | 6% · 9% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Energie Cottbus |
| SSV Ulm 1846 1–3 Hoffenheim II | 1.03–2.25 | 16% · 19% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim II |
| Verl 1–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.67–1.60 | 40% · 23% · 37% | Close call, SSV Jahn Regensburg won |
| VfL Osnabrück 2–0 FC Viktoria Köln | 1.18–1.10 | 38% · 28% · 34% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| Alemannia Aachen 1–0 FC Schweinfurt 05 | 2.73–0.70 | 80% · 13% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Alemannia Aachen |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 0–0 MSV Duisburg | 1.53–0.36 | 67% · 25% · 8% | Draw against the xG: FC Ingolstadt 04 had 67% |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 1–0 Waldhof Mannheim | 1.76–0.54 | 67% · 22% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Rot-Weiß Essen |
| FC Saarbrücken 2–0 SV Wehen | 1.91–0.34 | 76% · 19% · 6% | Win in line with xG for FC Saarbrücken |
| Havelse 1–3 Hansa Rostock | 0.83–1.45 | 22% · 27% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Hansa Rostock |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.