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10 of 10 matches with xG: 38 goals from 35.6 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alemannia Aachen 4–1 Energie Cottbus | 1.06–1.33 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Close call, Alemannia Aachen won |
| Hansa Rostock 5–1 MSV Duisburg | 2.38–2.08 | 46% · 19% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Hansa Rostock |
| Rot-Weiß Essen 4–2 Erzgebirge Aue | 1.57–2.26 | 27% · 20% · 53% | Won against the xG: Rot-Weiß Essen |
| FC Saarbrücken 1–1 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.61–1.02 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Draw against the xG: FC Saarbrücken had 51% |
| Havelse 3–2 FC Viktoria Köln | 1.74–1.96 | 35% · 21% · 44% | Close call, Havelse won |
| VfL Osnabrück 4–1 Waldhof Mannheim | 2.95–0.89 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Win in line with xG for VfL Osnabrück |
| TSV 1860 München 0–0 SV Wehen | 0.86–2.18 | 14% · 19% · 68% | Draw against the xG: SV Wehen had 68% |
| Stuttgart II 1–0 Hoffenheim II | 3.34–0.87 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Stuttgart II |
| Verl 4–0 FC Schweinfurt 05 | 3.08–0.41 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Verl |
| SSV Ulm 1846 1–3 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2.14–1.91 | 44% · 20% · 35% | Close call, FC Ingolstadt 04 won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.