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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 25.9 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne 0–1 Bayern Munich | 0.21–3.62 | 1% · 4% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Borussia Dortmund 4–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3.23–0.99 | 81% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Union Berlin 1–1 FC Augsburg | 2.15–1.70 | 48% · 21% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| SC Freiburg 1–1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.64–0.35 | 70% · 23% · 7% | Draw against the xG: SC Freiburg had 70% |
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 RB Leipzig | 0.96–2.76 | 10% · 15% · 75% | Won against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg |
| Werder Bremen 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.19–1.03 | 7% · 36% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 VfB Stuttgart | 0.91–2.18 | 14% · 19% · 66% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 0–0 VfL Bochum | 0.48–0.38 | 28% · 50% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hoffenheim 1–1 Mainz 05 | 1.42–1.75 | 31% · 23% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.