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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 28.3 xG (0.71 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 FC Cologne | 0.71–1.49 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
| RB Leipzig 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 4.06–1.11 | 87% · 8% · 5% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 Hoffenheim | 1.65–1.41 | 43% · 24% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| VfL Bochum 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.50–1.29 | 42% · 25% · 33% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| VfB Stuttgart 2–0 Werder Bremen | 3.45–0.83 | 85% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg | 2.38–0.92 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Won against the xG: SC Freiburg |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Borussia Dortmund | 2.08–0.61 | 72% · 19% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen had 72% |
| FC Augsburg 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.41–1.06 | 45% · 27% · 28% | Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg |
| Bayern Munich 1–0 Union Berlin | 2.08–0.25 | 81% · 15% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.