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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 29.2 xG (0.79 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 Werder Bremen | 1.47–1.67 | 34% · 24% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.63–0.53 | 64% · 24% · 12% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Heidenheim |
| VfL Bochum 3–0 Union Berlin | 2.94–0.67 | 83% · 11% · 6% | Win in line with xG for VfL Bochum |
| FC Augsburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund | 1.82–2.73 | 25% · 18% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Dortmund had 57% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.64–0.64 | 30% · 40% · 30% | Close call, VfL Wolfsburg won |
| RB Leipzig 3–1 Hoffenheim | 3.17–0.96 | 80% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| SC Freiburg 2–0 FC Cologne | 3.15–1.16 | 76% · 13% · 10% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.48–0.26 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Bayern Munich 3–0 VfB Stuttgart | 2.84–0.41 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.