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9 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 24.8 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich 3–0 Hoffenheim | 2.77–1.22 | 70% · 16% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| RB Leipzig 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.56–1.09 | 82% · 10% · 7% | Won against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt |
| SC Freiburg 0–0 Union Berlin | 1.79–0.46 | 70% · 21% · 9% | Draw against the xG: SC Freiburg had 70% |
| Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.42–0.56 | 22% · 47% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Cologne 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.90–0.97 | 32% · 32% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Augsburg 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.50–1.97 | 8% · 19% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–3 Borussia Dortmund | 1.04–3.14 | 9% · 12% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| VfL Bochum 1–1 Werder Bremen | 0.74–0.79 | 30% · 36% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 VfB Stuttgart | 1.92–0.92 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.