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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 27.8 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg 3–2 Hoffenheim | 2.69–1.45 | 64% · 17% · 19% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| FC Cologne 0–4 Borussia Dortmund | 1.30–3.38 | 11% · 12% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| VfL Bochum 1–0 VfB Stuttgart | 0.90–1.45 | 23% · 27% · 50% | Won against the xG: VfL Bochum |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.12–1.11 | 36% · 29% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| SV Darmstadt 98 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.15–1.29 | 33% · 27% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Leipzig 2–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.63–2.04 | 31% · 21% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Bayern Munich 0–1 Werder Bremen | 1.87–0.36 | 74% · 19% · 6% | Won against the xG: Werder Bremen |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 FC Augsburg | 2.11–1.41 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Won against the xG: FC Augsburg |
| Mainz 05 1–1 Union Berlin | 1.40–1.19 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.