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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 31.1 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig 5–1 VfB Stuttgart | 1.76–1.13 | 52% · 23% · 24% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| SC Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen | 2.41–1.06 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| FC Cologne 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.82–2.49 | 10% · 16% · 74% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| VfL Bochum 1–1 Borussia Dortmund | 0.98–1.33 | 28% · 28% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 2–3 Hoffenheim | 2.56–2.99 | 34% · 17% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| SV Darmstadt 98 1–4 Union Berlin | 2.27–1.74 | 50% · 20% · 30% | Won against the xG: Union Berlin |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.25–2.73 | 15% · 16% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.06–0.93 | 38% · 31% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bayern Munich 3–1 FC Augsburg | 2.90–0.66 | 83% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.