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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 27.9 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim | 3.36–2.15 | 62% · 15% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Dortmund had 62% |
| Bayer Leverkusen 5–1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.83–0.36 | 88% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.72–1.23 | 49% · 24% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Werder Bremen 4–0 Mainz 05 | 2.74–0.55 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| FC Augsburg 2–2 VfL Bochum | 2.34–1.60 | 54% · 20% · 26% | Draw against the xG: FC Augsburg had 54% |
| VfB Stuttgart 5–0 SC Freiburg | 1.74–1.05 | 54% · 24% · 23% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Bayern Munich | 0.35–2.37 | 4% · 13% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 FC Cologne | 1.35–0.91 | 47% · 28% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Berlin 0–3 RB Leipzig | 0.13–1.12 | 4% · 33% · 63% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.