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9 of 9 matches with xG: 38 goals from 29.6 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen | 2.10–2.06 | 41% · 20% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Leipzig 3–0 FC Augsburg | 1.08–1.69 | 24% · 24% · 52% | Won against the xG: RB Leipzig |
| SC Freiburg 2–4 Borussia Dortmund | 1.05–2.35 | 15% · 18% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 Union Berlin | 0.36–1.19 | 11% · 31% · 57% | Won against the xG: VfL Wolfsburg |
| Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart | 0.97–1.56 | 24% · 25% · 51% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| FC Cologne 1–3 Hoffenheim | 1.00–1.04 | 34% · 30% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| VfL Bochum 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.05–0.61 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Draw against the xG: VfL Bochum had 71% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 4–2 Werder Bremen | 2.34–3.09 | 29% · 17% · 54% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Heidenheim |
| SV Darmstadt 98 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.23–3.88 | 7% · 9% · 83% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Mönchengladbach had 83% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.