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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.3 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart 3–1 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.47–0.16 | 88% · 10% · 2% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Bayern Munich 7–0 VfL Bochum | 5.05–0.14 | 99% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.67–0.53 | 65% · 23% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Union Berlin 0–2 Hoffenheim | 1.62–1.97 | 32% · 22% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 RB Leipzig | 0.80–0.72 | 34% · 36% · 29% | Close call, RB Leipzig won |
| FC Augsburg 2–1 Mainz 05 | 0.75–0.48 | 38% · 41% · 21% | Close call, FC Augsburg won |
| Werder Bremen 2–1 FC Cologne | 2.14–1.39 | 55% · 21% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Bayer Leverkusen 4–1 1. FC Heidenheim | 3.65–0.52 | 91% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 0–0 SC Freiburg | 0.65–0.58 | 32% · 41% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.