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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 29.2 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim 1–3 Borussia Dortmund | 1.97–1.64 | 46% · 22% · 33% | Close call, Borussia Dortmund won |
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.25–1.30 | 75% · 13% · 12% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.47–1.13 | 15% · 32% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| FC Cologne 0–2 VfB Stuttgart | 0.72–2.48 | 9% · 15% · 76% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| VfL Bochum 1–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.58–2.83 | 20% · 17% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–0 Union Berlin | 0.77–2.15 | 12% · 19% · 69% | Won against the xG: 1. FC Heidenheim |
| RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayern Munich | 0.73–2.36 | 10% · 16% · 74% | Draw against the xG: Bayern Munich had 74% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 4–2 Werder Bremen | 2.43–1.55 | 57% · 19% · 24% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| SC Freiburg 2–0 FC Augsburg | 1.03–0.81 | 40% · 32% · 28% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.