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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 28.6 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 Mainz 05 | 2.45–0.65 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Mönchengladbach had 77% |
| Borussia Dortmund 4–2 Union Berlin | 1.63–1.42 | 43% · 24% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| RB Leipzig 0–0 VfL Bochum | 2.42–0.31 | 84% · 12% · 3% | Draw against the xG: RB Leipzig had 84% |
| FC Augsburg 1–2 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.11–1.74 | 24% · 24% · 52% | Win in line with xG for SV Darmstadt 98 |
| VfB Stuttgart 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg | 2.69–1.23 | 68% · 16% · 15% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Werder Bremen 2–3 Hoffenheim | 0.83–1.76 | 17% · 23% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 FC Cologne | 3.27–1.41 | 73% · 14% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Bayern Munich 3–0 SC Freiburg | 2.43–0.05 | 90% · 9% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.00–1.24 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.