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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 29.5 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Werder Bremen | 2.69–0.37 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Union Berlin 0–3 VfB Stuttgart | 0.63–1.38 | 17% · 28% · 55% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| SC Freiburg 2–1 VfL Bochum | 2.32–1.35 | 59% · 19% · 21% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.48–1.92 | 30% · 22% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Hoffenheim 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.52–2.54 | 22% · 18% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| SV Darmstadt 98 1–3 RB Leipzig | 2.00–1.72 | 45% · 21% · 34% | Close call, RB Leipzig won |
| Mainz 05 1–3 Bayern Munich | 1.18–1.35 | 33% · 27% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| FC Cologne 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.73–0.26 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 2–5 FC Augsburg | 1.56–2.51 | 23% · 19% · 58% | Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.