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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 21.4 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim 0–0 Borussia Dortmund | 1.11–0.67 | 46% · 32% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bayern Munich 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.00–0.74 | 67% · 20% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| SC Freiburg 1–3 VfB Stuttgart | 0.70–1.76 | 14% · 23% · 63% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Mainz 05 0–1 Werder Bremen | 1.00–0.66 | 43% · 34% · 24% | Won against the xG: Werder Bremen |
| VfL Bochum 1–1 FC Augsburg | 0.93–1.71 | 20% · 24% · 56% | Draw against the xG: FC Augsburg had 56% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.67–1.95 | 12% · 20% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| FC Cologne 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.56–0.84 | 54% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 Hoffenheim | 1.63–1.75 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Leipzig 2–0 Union Berlin | 1.15–0.53 | 51% · 32% · 17% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.