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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 22.3 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Freiburg | 1.93–0.26 | 78% · 18% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Union Berlin 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.47–1.32 | 13% · 29% · 58% | Won against the xG: Union Berlin |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 VfL Bochum | 2.40–1.42 | 59% · 19% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Eintracht Frankfurt had 59% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 1.41–0.81 | 51% · 27% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Mönchengladbach had 51% |
| Werder Bremen 1–2 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.76–1.79 | 38% · 22% · 40% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| FC Augsburg 2–2 RB Leipzig | 0.74–1.36 | 20% · 28% · 52% | Draw against the xG: RB Leipzig had 52% |
| Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 Bayern Munich | 1.32–0.56 | 55% · 29% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Mainz 05 | 1.94–1.45 | 49% · 22% · 29% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Cologne | 1.26–0.14 | 67% · 29% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Hoffenheim had 67% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.