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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 24.7 xG (1.29 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayern Munich | 1.52–1.81 | 33% · 23% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Berlin 0–2 Borussia Dortmund | 1.09–1.67 | 25% · 24% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.31–0.88 | 47% · 28% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfL Bochum 1–4 RB Leipzig | 0.88–2.23 | 13% · 19% · 68% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.05–1.15 | 33% · 29% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| SV Darmstadt 98 0–6 FC Augsburg | 0.80–2.88 | 8% · 13% · 80% | Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg |
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 VfB Stuttgart | 0.80–1.06 | 27% · 32% · 41% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| FC Cologne 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.00–1.59 | 24% · 25% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Hoffenheim 2–1 Werder Bremen | 1.68–1.34 | 46% · 24% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.