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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 28.2 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.58–2.70 | 21% · 18% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| RB Leipzig 1–0 VfL Bochum | 1.31–1.01 | 43% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Hoffenheim 3–2 Holstein Kiel | 3.38–1.57 | 72% · 14% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| SC Freiburg 3–1 VfB Stuttgart | 2.01–0.36 | 77% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| FC Augsburg 2–2 Werder Bremen | 1.12–1.49 | 28% · 26% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mainz 05 1–1 Union Berlin | 1.44–0.50 | 60% · 27% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Mainz 05 had 60% |
| Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.98–1.31 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 Bayern Munich | 1.97–2.42 | 32% · 19% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| FC St. Pauli 0–2 1. FC Heidenheim | 0.94–1.12 | 30% · 30% · 40% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.