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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.9 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin 1–0 FC St. Pauli | 1.07–0.53 | 49% · 33% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Union Berlin |
| VfB Stuttgart 3–3 Mainz 05 | 3.85–2.26 | 67% · 14% · 20% | Draw against the xG: VfB Stuttgart had 67% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 Hoffenheim | 2.48–0.94 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Werder Bremen 0–0 Borussia Dortmund | 0.41–0.61 | 20% · 46% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| VfL Bochum 0–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.66–2.69 | 7% · 13% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| Holstein Kiel 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg | 1.10–1.29 | 32% · 28% · 41% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–3 RB Leipzig | 2.33–1.11 | 65% · 19% · 17% | Won against the xG: RB Leipzig |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 4–0 FC Augsburg | 3.06–0.68 | 84% · 11% · 5% | Win in line with xG for 1. FC Heidenheim |
| Bayern Munich 2–0 SC Freiburg | 1.69–1.09 | 51% · 24% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.