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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 32.8 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 4–2 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.44–1.78 | 53% · 19% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| RB Leipzig 0–0 Union Berlin | 1.24–0.61 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Draw against the xG: RB Leipzig had 52% |
| Hoffenheim 1–4 Bayer Leverkusen | 0.88–3.62 | 5% · 9% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| SC Freiburg 2–1 VfL Bochum | 3.36–0.89 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.67–2.57 | 24% · 18% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 VfB Stuttgart | 1.65–2.20 | 29% · 20% · 50% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| Holstein Kiel 1–6 Bayern Munich | 0.27–3.25 | 1% · 6% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| FC Augsburg 3–1 FC St. Pauli | 2.61–0.52 | 82% · 13% · 5% | Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg |
| Mainz 05 1–2 Werder Bremen | 1.13–2.06 | 20% · 21% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.