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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 34.6 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 2–1 FC St. Pauli | 2.95–0.63 | 84% · 11% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 3.89–1.94 | 73% · 13% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Bochum | 2.45–2.66 | 37% · 18% · 45% | Close call, Hoffenheim won |
| SC Freiburg 3–1 FC Augsburg | 0.81–0.56 | 38% · 38% · 23% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig | 0.60–1.93 | 11% · 20% · 69% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–2 1. FC Heidenheim | 3.61–2.09 | 66% · 14% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| Bayern Munich 4–0 VfB Stuttgart | 3.27–0.40 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Holstein Kiel 0–2 Union Berlin | 1.37–1.13 | 42% · 27% · 31% | Close call, Union Berlin won |
| VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 Werder Bremen | 2.21–2.08 | 42% · 20% · 38% | Close call, Werder Bremen won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.