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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 23.1 xG (1.38 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich 6–0 RB Leipzig | 1.72–0.54 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 Hoffenheim | 0.71–0.45 | 37% · 42% · 21% | Won against the xG: Hoffenheim |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1 Werder Bremen | 2.74–0.53 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| SC Freiburg 1–3 FC Augsburg | 2.60–1.34 | 65% · 17% · 18% | Won against the xG: FC Augsburg |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg | 0.72–2.45 | 9% · 16% · 75% | Win in line with xG for VfL Wolfsburg |
| Union Berlin 2–1 VfB Stuttgart | 0.34–1.73 | 7% · 21% · 72% | Won against the xG: Union Berlin |
| FC St. Pauli 3–3 Borussia Dortmund | 1.29–1.56 | 32% · 25% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Mainz 05 0–1 FC Cologne | 1.52–1.36 | 41% · 25% · 34% | Close call, FC Cologne won |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 Hamburger SV | 1.10–0.41 | 53% · 33% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Mönchengladbach had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.