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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 29.3 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV 0–2 FC St. Pauli | 0.35–1.44 | 9% · 26% · 65% | Win in line with xG for FC St. Pauli |
| Hoffenheim 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.37–1.56 | 34% · 25% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| RB Leipzig 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.23–1.02 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0.84–1.82 | 17% · 23% · 61% | Won against the xG: VfB Stuttgart |
| Werder Bremen 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen | 2.59–2.10 | 49% · 19% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Augsburg 2–3 Bayern Munich | 0.51–4.24 | 1% · 4% · 95% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 Mainz 05 | 0.62–1.95 | 11% · 20% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Mainz 05 had 69% |
| Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Union Berlin | 2.51–1.14 | 67% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| FC Cologne 4–1 SC Freiburg | 2.11–0.91 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.