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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 28.6 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.11–0.65 | 71% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| SC Freiburg 3–1 VfB Stuttgart | 1.55–0.53 | 62% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 0–2 Borussia Dortmund | 0.40–2.76 | 3% · 10% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig | 0.90–1.79 | 19% · 23% · 58% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Union Berlin 2–4 Hoffenheim | 2.59–2.76 | 38% · 18% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| VfL Wolfsburg 3–3 FC Cologne | 1.50–1.65 | 35% · 24% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bayern Munich 5–0 Hamburger SV | 2.54–0.58 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| FC St. Pauli 2–1 FC Augsburg | 1.90–0.78 | 64% · 21% · 15% | Win in line with xG for FC St. Pauli |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–4 Werder Bremen | 1.48–2.09 | 27% · 21% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.