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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 33.3 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich 5–1 VfB Stuttgart | 4.06–0.79 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| SV Elversberg 3–2 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.27–1.88 | 26% · 23% · 52% | Won against the xG: SV Elversberg |
| FC Cologne 3–2 Hoffenheim | 1.95–1.88 | 41% · 21% · 38% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
| Mainz 05 0–0 Paderborn | 1.23–0.73 | 48% · 30% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3.96–1.09 | 86% · 8% · 6% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Union Berlin 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.84–1.47 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV | 1.53–0.91 | 52% · 26% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| SC Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen | 2.37–0.54 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| FC Augsburg 3–0 Schalke 04 | 3.72–2.10 | 68% · 14% · 19% | Win in line with xG for FC Augsburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.