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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 29.1 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg 4–1 Mainz 05 | 1.02–1.23 | 31% · 29% · 41% | Close call, SV Elversberg won |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart | 2.07–2.88 | 27% · 17% · 55% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| FC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg | 1.53–1.45 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Close call, SC Freiburg won |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 Paderborn | 1.07–1.04 | 36% · 30% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Werder Bremen 2–0 Hoffenheim | 1.20–1.15 | 37% · 28% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Schalke 04 0–2 RB Leipzig | 0.58–3.30 | 4% · 8% · 88% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| Bayern Munich 2–2 Borussia Dortmund | 4.53–0.77 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Bayern Munich had 93% |
| Union Berlin 1–1 FC Cologne | 0.91–1.22 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 3–1 Hamburger SV | 2.03–1.12 | 58% · 21% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.