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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 29.5 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.60–2.66 | 22% · 18% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg | 2.91–0.68 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| FC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin | 1.91–1.24 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Draw against the xG: FC Augsburg had 53% |
| Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen | 1.73–2.58 | 25% · 18% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| FC Cologne 0–0 Schalke 04 | 1.29–0.66 | 52% · 29% · 19% | Draw against the xG: FC Cologne had 52% |
| Paderborn 1–0 Hamburger SV | 1.21–0.49 | 54% · 31% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Paderborn |
| Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.62–0.88 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen | 3.34–0.68 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| SC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern Munich | 0.97–3.05 | 9% · 13% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.