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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 32.1 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 FC Cologne | 1.80–0.80 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Eintracht Frankfurt |
| Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund | 0.80–1.09 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Hamburger SV 1–0 VfB Stuttgart | 1.50–2.28 | 25% · 20% · 55% | Won against the xG: Hamburger SV |
| Werder Bremen 2–2 Paderborn | 3.21–1.15 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Werder Bremen had 77% |
| Schalke 04 0–1 Mainz 05 | 0.43–1.94 | 7% · 19% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Mainz 05 |
| SV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg | 3.78–3.92 | 41% · 15% · 45% | Close call, SV Elversberg won |
| Bayern Munich 6–1 RB Leipzig | 3.40–0.84 | 85% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg | 1.64–1.21 | 47% · 24% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Hoffenheim | 0.47–1.80 | 9% · 21% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.