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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 33.6 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen | 2.42–1.13 | 66% · 18% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Borussia Dortmund had 66% |
| Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburger SV | 0.93–1.28 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Hamburger SV |
| FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern Munich | 2.37–4.96 | 12% · 10% · 78% | Draw against the xG: Bayern Munich had 78% |
| Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen | 3.13–2.09 | 59% · 16% · 25% | Won against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen |
| Union Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg | 1.13–0.24 | 59% · 33% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Union Berlin |
| Paderborn 0–2 VfB Stuttgart | 1.96–2.47 | 31% · 19% · 50% | Win in line with xG for VfB Stuttgart |
| RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 4.03–1.46 | 81% · 10% · 9% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| FC Cologne 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.32–1.17 | 40% · 27% · 33% | Win in line with xG for FC Cologne |
| SC Freiburg 2–1 Schalke 04 | 1.15–0.32 | 57% · 32% · 10% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.