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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 31.8 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich 7–0 Union Berlin | 3.71–0.34 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 SC Freiburg | 2.18–3.09 | 27% · 17% · 57% | Draw against the xG: SC Freiburg had 57% |
| Hamburger SV 2–1 FC Cologne | 1.45–1.41 | 38% · 25% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Hamburger SV |
| Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg | 2.78–1.12 | 72% · 15% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Werder Bremen |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 Mainz 05 | 3.24–2.82 | 48% · 16% · 35% | Close call, Mainz 05 won |
| VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund | 0.87–1.34 | 24% · 28% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig | 2.27–0.97 | 67% · 19% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Bayer Leverkusen |
| Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg | 1.01–1.01 | 35% · 31% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Paderborn 3–1 Hoffenheim | 0.68–1.50 | 17% · 26% · 57% | Won against the xG: Paderborn |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.