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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 32.4 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin 1–3 Schalke 04 | 1.95–2.52 | 30% · 19% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Schalke 04 |
| Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Paderborn | 1.76–0.49 | 69% · 22% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Borussia Dortmund |
| Hoffenheim 2–1 VfB Stuttgart | 2.76–2.16 | 51% · 18% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Hoffenheim |
| SC Freiburg 5–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.60–0.19 | 89% · 10% · 2% | Win in line with xG for SC Freiburg |
| FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen | 1.11–2.64 | 14% · 16% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Bayer Leverkusen had 70% |
| Mainz 05 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.12–2.04 | 41% · 20% · 38% | Close call, Eintracht Frankfurt won |
| FC Cologne 1–1 Werder Bremen | 1.65–1.12 | 50% · 24% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburger SV | 2.43–1.10 | 67% · 18% · 16% | Win in line with xG for RB Leipzig |
| SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern Munich | 0.94–2.83 | 10% · 14% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Bayern Munich |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.