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6 of 7 matches with xG: 20 goals from 16.7 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens 4–0 Iraklis 1908 | 2.06–0.38 | 77% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for AEK Athens |
| Kalamata 2–3 Aris Thessaloniki | 1.41–2.69 | 18% · 17% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Aris Thessaloniki |
| Olympiacos 1–0 Atromitos | 3.17–0.30 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Olympiacos |
| OFI 2–0 Volos NFC | 1.40–0.91 | 48% · 27% · 24% | Win in line with xG for OFI |
| PAOK 4–0 Levadiakos | 2.15–0.57 | 74% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for PAOK |
| Panetolikos 3–1 Asteras Tripolis | 0.50–1.19 | 16% · 31% · 53% | Won against the xG: Panetolikos |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.